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Gang Li (BA, MSC, PHD)


Address: SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT,UNIVERSITY OF SURREY,GUILDFORD, U.K. GU2 7XH
Tel: +44 (0)1483 686356
Fex: +44 (0)1483 689511
Email: G.LI@SURREY.AC.UK

Education

  • November 2000–January 2004
    PhD (Bursary awarded)
    University of Surrey
    Thesis: “Modelling and Forecasting UK Tourism Demand in Western Europe: Illustrations of TVP-LAIDS Models’ Superiority over Other Econometric Approaches”
  • September 1997– July 2000
    MSc in Economics (Bursary awarded, Distinction)
    Dongbei University of Finance and Economics (DUFE), Dalian, China
    Major: Statistics and Econometrics
  • September 1993–July 1997
    BA in Economics (Hons, First-Class)
    Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, China
    Major: Investment Economics
  • September 1994–July 1996
    Diploma in Accounting and Finance (part-time)
    Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, China
Work Experience
  • 2009 to date
    Senior Lecturer in Economics
    School of Management, University of Surrey
  • 2003 to 2008
    Lecturer in Economics
    School of Management, University of Surrey
  • 2005 to date
    Visiting Assistant Professor (short-term)
    School of Hotel and Tourism Management, Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Publication
  • Research Monograph
    Song, H., S.F. Witt and G. Li (2009). The Advanced Econometrics of Tourism Demand. London:Routledge.
  • Refereed Journal Papers
    1. Li, G. (2009). Tourism Demand Modeling and Forecasting: A Review of Literature Related to Greater China. Journal of China Tourism Research, 5(2): 2-40.
    2. Li, G., W. Chen and J. Duanmu (2009). Determinants of International Students’ Academic Performance: A Comparison between Chinese and Other International Students, Journal of Studies in International Education, in press.
    3. Song, H., G. Li, S. F. Witt and B. Fei (2009). Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: How Should Demand Be Measured? Tourism Economics, in press.
    4. Shen, S., G. Li and H. Song (2009). Effect of Seasonality Treatment on the Forecasting Performance of Tourism Demand Models, Tourism Economics, in press.
    5. Kim, Y. G. and G. Li (2009). Customer Satisfaction and Loyalty of Online Travel Products: A Transaction Cost Economics Perspective, Tourism Economics, in press.
    6. Shen, S., G. Li and H. Song (2008). An Assessment of Combining Tourism Demand Forecasts over Different Time Horizons, Journal of Travel Research, 47(2): 197-207.
    7. Song, H. and G. Li (2008). Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting—A Review of Recent Research, Tourism Management, 29: 203-220.
    8. Li, G. and H. Song (2006). New Forecasting Models, Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing, 21(4): 3-13.
    9. Li, G., K. F. Wong, H. Song and S. F. Witt (2006). Tourism Demand Forecasting: A Time Varying Parameter Error Correction Model, Journal of Travel Research, 45: 175-185.
    10. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2006). Time Varying Parameter and Fixed Parameter Linear AIDS: An Application to Tourism Demand Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 22: 57-71.
    11. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2005). Recent Development in Econometric Modeling and Forecasting. Journal of Travel Research, 44(1): 82-99.
    12. Wang, Y., G. Li and X. Bai (2005). A Residential Survey on Urban Tourism Impacts in Harbin, China Tourism Research, 1 (1): 116-129.
    13. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2004). Modelling Tourism Demand: A Dynamic Linear AIDS Approach. Journal of Travel Research, 43 (2): 141-150.
    14. Bai, X. and G. Li (2004). Regional Productivity Convergence in China, Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 2 (2): 155-168.
    15. Song, H., S. F. Witt and G. Li (2003). Modelling and Forecasting Demand for Thai Tourism, Tourism Economics, 9 (4): 363-387.
  • Book Chapters
    1. Shen, S., G. Li and H. Song (2009). Is the Time Varying Parameter Model Favourable for Tourism Demand Forecasting: Statistical Evidence, forthcoming in Á. Matias, P. Nijkamp, and P. Neto, (eds.) Advances in Tourism Economics 2007, New York: Springer-Verlag.
    2. Li, G. (2008). The Nature of Leisure Travel Demand, in A. Graham et al, (eds.) Aviation and Tourism: Implications for Leisure Travel, pp7-20. Aldershot: Ashgate.
    3. Li, G. and H. Song (2006). Quantitative Techniques for Tourism Competition Analysis, in A. Papatheodorou, (eds.) Corporate Rivalry and Market Power : Competition Issues in the Tourism Industry, pp35-53, London: IB Tauris.
    4. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2006). Forecasting Tourism Demand Using Econometric Models, in D. Buhalis and C. Costa (eds.) Tourism Management Dynamics: Trends, Management and Tools, pp219-228, Oxford: Elsevier.
  • Refereed Conference Papers
    1. Li, G. (2008). An Overview of Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting Studies related to Greater China, refereed paper presented at the 5th China Tourism Forum, Huangshan, China, December 13-14, 2008.
    2. Li, G. and J. Duanmu (2008). Determinants of International Students’ Academic Performance: A Comparison between Chinese and Other International Students, refereed paper presented at the 5th China Tourism Forum, Huangshan, China, December 13-14, 2008.
    3. Song, H., S. F. Witt, G. Li and W. Guo (2008). Forecasting Accuracy of Time Varying Parameter Structural Time Series Models, refereed paper presented at the 28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France, June 22-25, 2008.
    4. Wu, C., H. Song and G. Li (2008). A System demand Model for Analysing Tourist expenditures, presented at the conference of Exploring Tourism II: Issues in PhD Research, Bournemouth, May 29-30, 2008.
    5. Wu, C., H. Song and G. Li (2008). Analysis of Tourist Expenditure in Hong Kong Using Dynamic AIDS Model, accepted by the 13th Annual Graduate Education and Graduate Student Research Conference in Hospitality and Tourism, Orlando, USA, January 3-5, 2008.
    6. Song, H., G. Li, S. F. Witt, and B. Fei (2007). Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: Does the Measure Matter? refereed paper presented at the 6th DeHaan Tourism Management Conference: The Economics of Tourism, Nottingham, December 18, 2007.
    7. Shen, S., G. Li and H. Song (2007). Combination Forecasts of UK Outbound Tourism Demand, refereed paper presented at the First Conference of the International Association for Tourism Economics, Palma, Majorca, October 25-27, 2007.
    8. Zeglat, D., Y. Ekinci, A. Lockwood and G. Li (2007). Service Quality and Financial Business Performance in the Hotel Industry, refereed paper presented at the conference of The 10th International Research Symposium on Service Excellence in Management, Orlando, USA, June 14-17, 2007.
    9. Shen, S., G. Li and H. Song (2007). Is the Time Varying Parameter Model Favourable for Tourism Demand Forecasting: Statistical Evidence, refereed paper presented at the conference: Advances in Tourism Economics, Vila Nova de Santo André, Portugal, April 13-14, 2007.
    10. Wang, Y. and G. Li (2006). Influences of Joint-venture Ownership on Human Resource Development Practices in China’s Hotels, The 3rd China Tourism Forum, Hong Kong, December 15-16, 2006.
    11. Shen, S. and G. Li (2006). Statistical Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy: An Application to Forecasting Tourism Demand for Thailand, refereed paper presented at the conference: Tourism and the New Asia: Implications for Research, Policy and Practice, Beijing, China, August 9-12, 2006.
    12. Han, S., X. Liu and G. Li (2005). Validity of the Zonal Travel Cost Model with Travel Time Using GIS as a Proxy of Travel Cost, refereed paper presented at The Third Asia Pacific CHRIE Conference, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, May 26-28, 2005.
    13. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2005). Forecasting International Tourism Demand Using the Time Varying Parameter Error Correction Model, refereed paper presented at the Conference: Theoretical Advances in Tourism Economics, Évora, Portugal, March 18-19, 2005.
    14. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2003). Modelling Tourism Demand: A Dynamic Linear AIDS Approach, refereed paper presented at the conference: Tourism Modelling and Competitiveness, Paphos, Cyprus, Oct. 31 to Nov. 1, 2003.
    15. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2003). Modelling UK Outbound Tourism Demand Using EC-LAIDS Models, refereed paper presented at the conference: Managing Tourism in the Global Economy, Melbourne, Australia, December 1-4, 2003.
    16. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2003). Modelling and Forecasting Demand for Thai Tourism, refereed paper presented at the 8th Annual Graduate Education and Graduate Student Research Conference in Hospitality and Tourism, and published at Advances in Hospitality and Tourism Research, Vol. 8: Proceedings of the conference, pp393-396, edited by H. Qu and P. J. Moreo, Las Vegas, USA, January 5-7, 2003.
    17. Li, G., H. Song and S. F. Witt (2002). Econometric Analysis and Forecasts of International Tourism Demand in Thailand, refereed paper presented at the Fifth Biennial Conference: Tourism in Asia: Development, Marketing and Sustainability, Hong Kong, May 23-25, 2002.
Research Projects
  • As Principal Investigator
    1. “Assessment of the Policy Impact on Chinese Outbound Tourism Demand: Developing an Advanced Econometric Approach”, Pump-Priming Award funded by University Research Support Fund, University of Surrey, August—December 2007.
    2. “Econometric Modelling and Forecasting UK Tourism Demand”, Pump-Priming Award funded by University Research Support Fund, University of Surrey, 2004-2005.
  • As Co-Investigator for International Collaborative Projects
    1. “Evaluating Hong Kong's Competitiveness as an International Tourism Destination from the Economic Policy Perspective”, funded by Hong Kong University Grants Committee (equivalent to ESRC), the Public Policy Research Scheme, 2008-2010; Principal Investigator: Prof Haiyan Song.
    2. “Automatic Forecasting for Tourism in Hong Kong”, 2nd phase, funded by The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 2008-2010; Principal Investigator: Prof Haiyan Song.
    3. “Assessing Hong Kong’s Competitiveness as an International Tourism Destination Using Tourist Satisfaction Indexes”, funded by the University Niche Area Research Funds, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 2007-2010; Principal Investigator: Prof Haiyan Song.
    4. “Modelling and Forecasting Seasonal Tourism Demand in Hong Kong using Structural Time Series Models with Time Varying Demand Elasticities”, the Competitive Earmarked Research Grant, Hong Kong University Grants Committee, 2007-2009; Principal Investigator: Prof Haiyan Song.
    5. “Econometric Analysis of HK Tourist Expenditure”, the Competitive Earmarked Research Grant, University Grants Committee Hong Kong, 2005-2007; Principal Investigator: Prof Haiyan Song.
    6. “Establishing a Tourism Demand Forecasting System for Hong Kong”, funded by the Public Policy Research Institute, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University 2005-200; Principal Investigator: Prof Haiyan Song.
    7. “Assessment and Comparison of the Stages of Development in China’s Coastal and Inland Regions”, Financed by the National Foundation of Social sciences, China, 1998-2000. Principal Investigator: Prof. Xuemei Bai.
Consultancies
  • Co-investigator of “Complex Assessment of the Socioeconomic Development of Cities in Liaoning Province”, sponsored by Liaoning Information Centre, Shenyang, China, 1998/99.
  • Co-investigator of “Evaluation of Television sales and Marketing Activities” commissioned by Shenyang LG Electronic Co., Shenyang, China, 1998.
Phd Supervision
  • Principal supervisor of Huang, Huart Tai (2009 to date): Financial Evaluation of Tourism Development Projects.
  • Co-supervisor of Cristina Mottironi (2007 to date, part-time): Evaluation of Tourist Destination’s Competitiveness.
  • Co-supervisor of Jimmy Saravia (2007 to date): Corporate Governance and firm performance.
  • External co-supervisor of Wu, Chenguang Doris (2006 to date): Tourist Expenditure Analysis Using Dynamic AIDS Models.
  • Co-supervisor of Ahn, Tae-Hong (2004 to date): An Investigation of the impact of self and functional congruence on tourists’ destination choice.
  • Independent supervisor of Shen, Shujie (2004-2007): Combination Forecasts of UK Outbound Leisure Tourism Demand, successful completion.
  • Principal supervisor of Jia, Fei (2006-2007): Foreign Direct Investment Linkage: Impacts, Determinants and Policies, successful completion.
  • Co-supervisor of Han, Sang-Hyun (2004-2006): Recreation demand modelling and non-market valuation of cultural heritage tourist resources, successful completion.
Scholarship
  • Professional Membership
    • Member of the Tourism Society
    • Member of the Chinese Economics Association in the UK
  • External Appointments
    • Director of Graduate Research and Education, International Tourism Studies Association (ITSA)
    • Regional Editor (Europe) of the Journal of China Tourism Research
    • Editorial Board member of the Journal of Travel Research
    • Programme Committee member for the 29th International Symposium on Forecasting, Hong Kong, June 22-24, 2009.
    • International Scientific Committee member for the conference: Tourism and Development: Mega Events and Urban Tourism, Shanghai, China, November 9-12, 2008.
    • International Scientific Committee member for the IASK Advances in Tourism Research Conference 2008, Aveiro, Portugal, May 26-28, 2008.
  • Journal Referring
    • Tourism and Hospitality: Annals of Tourism Research, Journal of Travel Research, Tourism Management (3 leading tourism journals), Tourism Economics, Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Research, Leisure Studies, International Journal of Tourism Research, Tourism and Hospitality Research: The Surrey Quarterly Review, Journal of China Tourism Research, Journal of Hospitality, Leisure, Sport and Tourism Education, Tourism Review International
    • Economics: Econometrics Journal, Empirical Economics, Journal of Comparative Economics, Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
    • Business Management: The Service Industries Journal, Journal of Environmental Management
  • PhD Examinations
    • External Examiner of Wanli Chen (2008): Game-Theoretic Investigation into Competition and Coordination in Tourism Supply Chains for Package Holidays, MPhil, The University of Hong Kong.
    • Internal Examiner of Renzeng Wang (2007): Return Volatility, ARCH Effects and Trading Volume: an Empirical Study on the Chinese Stock Market within the MDH Framework, PhD, University of Surrey.
    • Internal Examiner of Lei, Zheng (2005): Measuring Regional Economic Effects of Low-cost Carriers in the UK: a Panel Data Econometric Approach, PhD, University of Surrey.